The Trudeau government in Canada is breached of contract by the New Democratic Party, and an early general election may be imminent

On September 4 local time, a major upheaval suddenly occurred in Canadian politics. Jagmeet Singh, the leader of the New Democratic Party, the third-largest opposition party in the Federal House of Commons, announced the termination of the support and confidence agreement signed by his party and the ruling Federal Liberal Party. This move has sharply increased the possibility of an early general election in Canada.

The Liberal Party won the 2021 federal general election but did not win a majority of seats in the House of Commons and is in a minority government situation. In March 2022, the Liberal Party and the New Democratic Party reached an agreement. The New Democratic Party supports the Liberal Party's governance until June 2025 in exchange for the Liberal Party's support and promotion of many priority issues of the New Democratic Party. This agreement once reduced the risk of the Trudeau government facing a confidence vote and even a collapse. With the "blessing" of the agreement, the free dental care plan and universal drug insurance plan advocated by the New Democratic Party have made some progress in Congress.

However, on the 4th, New Democratic Party leader Singh criticized Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau as "too weak, too selfish, and too controlled by corporate interests to fight for the people," and said that the New Democratic Party is ready for the election and will consider casting a vote of no confidence in every confidence vote against the Trudeau government. In response to Singh's "breach of contract," Trudeau responded by saying that he hopes the New Democratic Party will continue to focus on serving the people rather than politics.

At present, the Liberal Party controls 154 of the 338 seats in the House of Commons. To ensure majority support of 169 seats, it needs to cooperate with the New Democratic Party with 24 seats or the Bloc Québécois with 32 seats. Canadian media ***ysis suggests that the Liberal Party may seek New Democratic Party support through case-by-case negotiations or may "woo" the Bloc Québécois.

The Canadian Parliament is currently on summer recess and will resume on September 16. In late June this year, the Liberal Party lost a by-election for a federal member of parliament in a constituency in Toronto. On September 16, there will be by-elections for federal members of parliament in one constituency each in Winnipeg, Manitoba and Montreal, Quebec. The results of the by-elections will once again reflect the trend of public opinion. And data from polling agencies focusing on voting intentions show that if there is a general election now, the Conservative Party can already win far more than half of the seats in the House of Commons. The subsequent development of the political situation in Canada is closely watched by all sectors.